Forecaster for Energy Demand


Delivering demand forecasts with an error of less than 4%.

Our energy demand forecaster is a winner in the “KI-Champions Baden-Württemberg 2024” competition by the Baden-Württemberg Ministry of Economic Affairs, Germany

SOLUTION OVERVIEW

Addressing challenges in energy procurement and trading

Key problems

Cost

Increased transactions on spot and intraday markets due to inaccurate predictions of energy demand result in high operational expenses.

To ensure compliance, e.g in Germany with the Energy Industry Act, energy providers need to guarantee an uninterrupted and reliable energy supply.

Inflexible Approaches

Relying on load curves and outdated models fail to project fluctuations in energy demand.

Changing Demand Dynamics

New demand patterns due to electric vehicles, photovoltaics, and HVAC systems require more adaptive forecasting solutions.

Solution

We deliver energy demand forecasts and integrate trading recommendations based on savings projections

Our forecaster uses current demand, weather, and event data to predict the energy demand from 15 minutes to 2 weeks in advance in 15-minute intervals.

PV power generation forecaster - solution overview
… and deliver reliability for each forecast.

The key advantage of our solution is that it provides not only demand forecasts but also a confidence value for each prediction as a reliability measure. This allows users to identify inconsistencies in the input data and detect root causes for (potential) operational inefficiencies.

SELECTED KPIs

Generating measurable value

Less than 4% Error of Energy Demand Forecasts

Our solution delivers forecasts with less than 4% deviation between predicted and actual energy demand.

1.1 Mio. € / Month Savings per 100.000 households

Our solution minimizes the transactions on the intraday and spot markets resulting in a significant cost reduction.

Up to 60% less manual load with semi-automated trading

Our solution enables traders to efficiently respond to fluctuations in the energy demand and execute recommendations per single click.

INTERACTIVE DASHBOARD

Delivering actionable insights for energy suppliers and traders

Benefit from energy demand forecasts and semi-automated trading to enhance operational efficiency and minimize the intraday and spot market transactions. Our solution integrates near real-time data and predictive analytics, delivering actionable insights through an intuitive dashboard to enhance decision-making and trading strategies.

Energy Demand Forecasting Dashboard
CORE FEATURES

End-to-end solution to meet your business needs

Demand Forecasts

Energy demand forecasts from 15 min. to a week in advance at 15-minute windows for proactive energy procurement.

Confidence Intervals

A measure of reliability for forecasts which can be used, for example, to identify anomalies in the input data.

Cost Savings Projections

Estimation of potential savings through forecast-based simulation to support operational decision-making.

Semi-automated trading

Actionable recommendations based on forecasted demand and savings can be executed by traders with a single click.

Reporting & Dashboarding

Standardized reports and interactive dashboards facilitate clear communication and accessible insights.

Data Historization

Archived demand and procurement data for trend analysis, model retraining and compliance adherence.

Technical characteristics

Interpretable Model
Self-learning System
TLS Encryption
Integration with risk management system
On Premise / in Cloud Deployment
Standardised REST interfaces
BENEFITS

A complete solution with pre-built functionalities

Focus on Results, not Development

Eliminate the need for lengthy custom development cycles. Our turnkey solution delivers immediate results to drive your business forward.

End-to-End Solution from Day 1

Benefit from a complete, fully functional system from day one. Our turnkey solution covers everything from data integration and processing to delivering actionable insights.

1-Month Integration

Reduce integration time and costs for data and AI solutions. Our turnkey solution can be fully integrated with your existing systems within one month.

Minimize Risk

Our solution ensures reliability through pre-built and -tested functionalities, reducing the risks of delays and budget overruns associated with custom development.

Onboarding, Training & Support

Benefit from our expertise. We offer comprehensive onboarding, training materials, and ongoing technical support to help you leverage the full capabilities of our turnkey solution.

Scalability & Guaranteed Updates

Future-proof your investment. Our turnkey solution scales with your needs and guarantees functional and security updates.

ONBOARDING PROCESS

From 0 through proof of value to continuation

01

Free Benchmark

to see our energy demand forecaster in action

We first focus on a region of your interest to set a baseline, ensuring the solution aligns with your specific operational needs and business objectives.

Deliverables
  • Executive summary with forecasts and relevant KPIs
  • Next steps outline

02

Pilot Project

for performance validation and Proof of Value (PoV)

We bring our solution into productive use for the selected region(s), including performance monitoring, gathering user feedback and fine-tuning of our model.

Deliverables
  • Initial deployment
  • User onboarding and training
  • Biweekly performance review

03

Continuation Phase

for integration of further regions and continuous operation

We focus on scaling the deployed forecasting system to integrate more regions and on ensuring seamless and efficient operation over time.

Deliverables
  • Extensive deployment
  • Monthly performance report
  • Regular updates

Start now.

Request your free individual benchmark.

  • Sign a mutual NDA – Your data stays your data.
  • Select a region of interest – Specify the focus.
  • Provide historic demand data.
  • Schedule a meeting – Let’s review the results together.

Todor Kostov